Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".Yin Xiyue continued to exercise the presidential power to submit the consent of the appointment of the chief justice to the National Assembly. According to the information system of the Korean National Assembly's motion, South Korean President Yin Xiyue submitted the consent of the appointment of the chief justice to the National Assembly on the 12 th, and said that "with the end of the term of office of the chief justice, in order to appoint a successor judge, the consent of the National Assembly is requested." Yin Xiyue delivered a speech to the people on the 12th, refused to end his term of office ahead of schedule, and successively approved 42 bills and enforcement orders, and also submitted a consent case for the appointment of the chief justice to continue to exercise the presidential power. According to the Korean Constitution, the Chief Justice shall be submitted by the President of the Grand Court of Korea (the High Court) and appointed by the President with the consent of the National Assembly. (CCTV News)Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.
Domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, domestic futures fell more and rose less, No.20 rubber fell nearly 3%, Shanghai Bank and BR rubber fell nearly 2%, and rubber, caustic soda, vegetable oil, rapeseed meal, hot coil, international copper and pulp fell more than 1%. In terms of increase, Shanghai nickel and alumina rose by over 1%, while SC crude oil and palm oil rose by nearly 1%.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Trump said that he will meet with Amazon founder Bezos next week. US President-elect Trump said on Thursday that he will meet with Amazon founder Bezos next week and stressed that he will continue to contact with technology giants before returning to the White House, including those companies that have signed contracts with the US government. Trump pointed out that he had met with Meta CEO Zuckerberg earlier and had extensive contact with Tesla CEO Musk.
The change in the concept of ice and snow industry has boosted the daily limit of iceberg cold and snowman shares, while the change in the concept of ice and snow industry has boosted the daily limit of iceberg cold and snow, snowman shares and Rhine Sports, and Sanfu Outdoor, Dalian Shengya, Changbai Mountain and Yuanlongyatu have followed suit.HKEx: The database of integrated fund platform funds was launched, and the database of integrated fund platform funds was announced by HKEx, covering more than 2,000 funds approved by the Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission, aiming at improving the information transparency of Hong Kong fund investment products.It is reported that Baidu and Geely are taking the transfer process to pay the social security arrears for employees of Extreme Vietnam in November. According to media reports, on the evening of December 12, the CEO of Extreme Vietnam Xia Yiping and Geely and Baidu held a closed meeting. After several rounds of communication, Baidu and Geely are taking the transfer process to pay the arrears of social security for employees in November. Shareholders Geely and Baidu set up an emergency team to participate remotely. In response to this news, Baidu and Geely did not comment. (Sina Technology)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13